CryptoQuant Says Bitcoin Price Could Hit $160,000–$200,000 in Q4 if Demand Keeps Growing

CryptoQuant Says Bitcoin Price Could Hit $160,000–$200,000 in Q4 if Demand Keeps Growing Quick Take: CryptoQuant highlights strong demand fueling Bitcoin’s Q4 outlook. Bitcoin could rally to $160,000–$200,000 by year-end 2025. ETFs, whales, and growing liquidity drive bullish momentum. Bitcoin has entered Q4 2025 with favorable conditions for a major rally, according to on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant. The company projects that Bitcoin’s price could surge into the $160,000–$200,000 range by the end of the year if current demand trends persist. Rising Bitcoin Demand Since July, spot demand has been accelerating, with an average monthly increase of over 62,000 BTC. CryptoQuant notes that similar demand patterns were observed before strong Q4 rallies in 2020, 2021, and 2024. This consistent accumulation signals that institutional and retail investors remain confident in Bitcoin’s long-term growth. Whale & ETF Activity Whale wallets are accumulating Bitcoin at an annual pace of 331,000 BTC, surpassing last year’s levels. Meanwhile, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs purchased 213,000 BTC in Q4 2024, and could record similar growth in 2025. According to Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s Head of Research, these inflows highlight robust institutional demand. Technical Breakout Signals CryptoQuant points out that Bitcoin recently cleared its on-chain realized price of $116,000, moving the market back into a bull phase. With Bitcoin trading above $117,300, the firm sees the path open toward the $160K–$200K target. The Bitcoin Bull Score Index currently sits at 40–50, levels historically seen before significant rallies. Added factors such as expanding stablecoin liquidity and reduced selling pressure strengthen the bullish case. Wider Market Forecasts Other institutions share similar optimism. Standard Chartered Bank, Bitwise, and Fundstrat’s Tom Lee also predict Bitcoin could reach $200,000 in 2025, with Standard Chartered even projecting $500,000 by 2028. If demand continues climbing, Q4 2025 may mark Bitcoin’s next historic breakout.

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